Daria Kasatkina vs Lulu Sun Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How do both players fare on second serve performance? Kasatkina achieves 37.4% of points on her second serve, whereas Sun captures 42.81%. This suggests Sun has a slight edge in this area.
• When it comes to returning serves, Kasatkina leads with 51.91% on opponents' second serves compared to Sun's 48.25%. Kasatkina also excels in first serve returns, winning 35.68% against Sun's 26.14%.
• Under pressure, Sun saves 54.21% of breakpoints, showing better composure compared to Kasatkina's 47.63% save rate.
• Kasatkina holds a slight advantage over the past year with a match win rate of 56.9%, compared to Sun’s 52.08%.
• Surface preference highlights that Kasatkina performs best on clay (69% win rate), whereas Sun excels on hard courts with a 65% win rate.
• Which player has faced tougher competition? Kasatkina has played against stronger opponents, averaging a rank of 54.86, while Sun's average opponent rank is 136.81.
• In deciding sets, Sun shows a higher success rate by winning 69% compared to Kasatkina's 50%. This signals Sun's resilience in tight matches.
• Kasatkina has a better breakpoint conversion rate recently, achieving 36.89% against Sun's 30.22%, which could be crucial in deciding game outcomes.

Editorial Prediction (June 23, 2025, UTC):

With a stronger second serve performance, Sun appears to have an initial advantage over Kasatkina. Her ability to save breakpoints at a higher rate further showcases her poise under pressure during critical moments in matches.

However, Kasatkina's superior return game, paired with her record against higher-ranked opponents, could prove decisive. Her experience and match fitness on the main tour suggest she is well-prepared for the challenge.

While Sun's record in deciding sets exhibits her fighting spirit, Kasatkina's overall consistency and competitive edge against stronger opponents give her a slight advantage coming into this match.

Based on these analyses, Kasatkina is predicted to be the likely winner in this upcoming tennis match.